Fed
Federal Reserve Interest Rates
Topic
84.6%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 2
Pending: 36
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at the March 18th meeting (94.1% chance).
"Now, there's a 94.1% chance that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at the next meeting..."
Feb 12, 2026
Pending
Jerome Powell will not cut interest rates in his remaining two FOMC meetings as Fed chair.
"So J. Paul has two more Fed meetings left as Fed chair and well according to market odds it looks li..."
Feb 12, 2026
Pending
Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at the April 29th meeting (78.5% chance).
"And right now, there's a 78.5% chance that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at that A..."
Feb 12, 2026
Pending
Trump's new Federal Reserve chair (after May 2026) is likely to lower interest rates.
"Trump's new chair, the Federal Reserve, is likely lowering rates regardless, sparking a great meltup..."
Jan 28, 2026
Pending
The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates only once by 0.25% in 2026.
"The Federal Reserve projected that they're only going to cut interest rates one time this year by 0...."
Jan 9, 2026
Pending
A new Fed chair (nominated by Trump) will be more aggressive with interest rate cuts (in 2026).
"The new Fed chair that Trump's going to nominate very soon, like it could be any day now. That new F..."
Jan 9, 2026
Pending
The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at the January 28th meeting in 2026.
"I expect that the Federal Reserve is not going to cut interest rates at their upcoming meeting in Ja..."
Jan 9, 2026
Pending
If the unemployment rate rises, the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates; if it falls, they will delay cuts (in 2026).
"If the unemployment rate rises, then they're going to be more inclined to cut interest rates. If the..."
Jan 9, 2026
Pending
Federal Reserve committee to cut interest rates more aggressively in 2026, especially after the new Fed chair takes office in May.
"it is my belief that with the new Fed chair coming in May, the committee is going to cut interest ra..."
Dec 29, 2025
Pending
Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 0.25% to 3.75% at the December 10th meeting.
"Me personally, I believe that yes, they're going to cut interest rates by 0.25%, which is going to b..."
Dec 4, 2025
Pending
There is a 70.1% chance the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December 2025 or January 2026.
"And there's a 70.1% chance that they're going to cut interest rates at either this December meeting ..."
Nov 21, 2025
Pending
There is a 19.9% chance the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at both the December 2025 and January 2026 meetings.
"And there's a 19.9% chance that they're going to cut interest rates at both the December meeting and..."
Nov 21, 2025
Pending
Lower GDP will give the Federal Reserve more reason to cut interest rates aggressively.
"If GDP is lower, then that gives more reason for the Federal Reserve to blast the money printer on a..."
Nov 11, 2025
Pending
It is more likely than not that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 0.25% in December 2025.
"So, I do agree that it's more likely than not that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in De..."
Nov 7, 2025
Pending
A Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December 2025 is not a sure thing, as the Fed is data-dependent.
"However, I just want to say it's not a sure thing. It's actually far from it because at the last Fed..."
Nov 7, 2025
Pending
Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell gave a neutral and non-committal answer regarding interest rate decisions for December 2025, emphasizing data dependency.
"So, Jay Powell, who's the most I mean, he's the chair of the Federal Reserve, so he's got the most i..."
Nov 7, 2025
Pending
There is a 68.7% chance the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 0.25% at the December 10th meeting in 2025.
"Right now, there's a 68.7% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by a quarter poin..."
Nov 7, 2025
Pending
Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 0.25% at their meeting on October 29, 2025, and another 0.25% at the December 2025 meeting, bringing the Fed funds rate to 3.75%.
"It's changed from a 91.8% chance to a now 96.3%. So listen, that's how the CPI inflation report has ..."
Oct 24, 2025
Pending
Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 0.25% at their meeting on October 29, 2025.
"When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 0.25% next week, I'm telling you, like, trust me, it..."
Oct 24, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve will implement two more 25 basis point interest rate cuts by the end of 2025.
"The dot plot. It still shows a median projection of two more 25 basis point cuts before the end of 2..."
Sep 23, 2025
Pending
Federal Reserve to aggressively cut interest rates in 2026.
"It means that most likely the Federal Reserve will aggressively cut interest rates next year."
Sep 22, 2025
Pending
Federal Reserve to slowly cut interest rates to 3%-3.25% by end of 2028.
"The Federal Reserve is projecting that they're going to slowly cut interest rates and get it down to..."
Sep 22, 2025
Pending
The market expects the Federal Reserve to implement rate cuts at both the October and December meetings of 2025.
"According to the CME Group's Fed Watch tool, which measures market-based probabilities, traders are ..."
Sep 18, 2025
Pending
Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at the September 17th meeting.
"the Federal Reserve is still most likely going to cut interest rates at their next meeting, which is..."
Sep 11, 2025
Pending
Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 0.25% at the upcoming September 17th meeting.
"I expected a higher inflation print and most likely still an interest rate cut of 0.25%. And that's ..."
Sep 11, 2025
Pending
Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at the September, October, and December meetings, bringing the Fed funds rate from 4.5% to 3.75% by the end of the year.
"the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at each one of the remaining meetings. So the one next w..."
Sep 11, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve has an 89% probability of cutting interest rates in September 2025.
"So there's a high probability that they're going to start doing that, cutting interest rates in Sept..."
Aug 27, 2025
Correct
If the Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates in September 2025, they are likely to do so in October 2025.
"But if they don't start cutting interest rates in September, then there's a good shot of them doing ..."
Aug 27, 2025
Correct
Federal Reserve will cut interest rates soon (likely within the next few months).
"they're going to cut interest rates sooner or later. and it's most likely going to be soon."
Aug 25, 2025
Correct
Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at the September 17th meeting (market expectation).
"There is a 100% chance of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at that meeting."
Aug 14, 2025
Correct
Federal Reserve to not cut interest rates by 0.5% in September (market expectation, as of this morning).
"The odds of a 0.5% interest rate cut in September have gone to 0%."
Aug 14, 2025
Correct
Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 0.25% in September (market expectation, as of yesterday).
"There's a 93.3% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 0.25%. 25% in September."
Aug 14, 2025
Correct
Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 0.25% in September (market expectation, as of this morning).
"The odds of a 0.25% rate cut have gone to 92.5%."
Aug 14, 2025
Correct
Federal Reserve to not cut interest rates in September (market expectation, as of this morning).
"The odds that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in September have gone to 7.5%."
Aug 14, 2025
Incorrect
Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 0.5% in September (market expectation, as of yesterday).
"There's also a 6.7% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 0.5% in September."
Aug 14, 2025
Incorrect
Federal Reserve has a 94.9% chance of cutting interest rates on September 17th.
"There is now a 94.9% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at their next meeting o..."
Aug 6, 2025
Correct
If the Fed cuts rates in September and maintains its forecast of two cuts for the year, another rate cut will occur in October or December.
"If they keep it at two rate cuts, you know, for the remainder of this year, that means that, okay, i..."
Aug 6, 2025
Correct
A new Federal Reserve Chair appointed by Trump will aggressively cut interest rates after J. Powell's term ends in May 2026.
"J. Powell's term is going to end in May of 2026 and Trump's going to appoint a new Fed chair that's ..."
Jul 21, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at its meeting on July 30th, 2025.
"there's a 95.3% chance that the Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates at their next meeting on..."
Jul 21, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at its July 30th, 2025 meeting.
"at the July meeting the Federal Reserve they're not going to cut interest rates and it's clearly ref..."
Jul 15, 2025
Correct
Markets price a 99% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on November 7th.
"we now have a 99% chance or markets are pricing in a 99% chance that the Fed is going to cut interes..."
Nov 2, 2024
Pending
Markets price a 99% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week (around November 7th).
"As of Friday morning, yesterday, markets were pricing in a roughly 99% chance that the Fed cuts inte..."
Nov 2, 2024
Pending
Wall Street is convinced the Fed will cut interest rates on November 7th.
"The Fed is going to announce on November 7th what they want to do with interest rates. And of course..."
Nov 2, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates in September 2024.
"A lot of people are predicting that the Federal Reserve Bank is going to hit at cutting interest rat..."
Jul 30, 2024
Pending
Federal Reserve Bank has an 83% chance of cutting interest rates in September 2024.
"Wall Street is now predicting that there's an 83% chance that the Federal Reserve Bank is going to s..."
Jul 12, 2024
Pending
Federal Reserve to cut interest rates 2-3 times by end of 2024.
"now the consensus is that we'll see probably two to three interest rate cuts by the end of 2024"
Apr 12, 2024
Pending
If the economy and inflation remain high or rise, the Federal Reserve could keep interest rates elevated for longer or even increase them again.
"if the economy continues to heat up and inflation continues to stay high or even rise the FED could ..."
Apr 8, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve Bank plans to start cutting interest rates in 2024.
"the Federal Reserve Bank has said that they're still planning and hoping to start cutting interest r..."
Mar 17, 2024
Pending
Even with a few interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the next 12 months, mortgage rates will not return to 3% or 4%.
"even if the Federal Reserve Bank were to cut interest interest rates a few times in the next 12 mont..."
Mar 17, 2024
Pending